Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Fri Aug 07 13:38:48 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

So, even a 'simple' RCP-like average should obviously be better for Biden than this. But even if we add in all the recent polls to make a better RCP-like average, we'd still find Biden doing worse than earlier in the month. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RCP is a particularly peculiar case. Yeah, it's a simple polling average, but even a simple poll average would include the Morning Consult and Ipsos polls. There's no plausible reason to exclude those but allow Rasmussen and HarrisX or whatever. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

One major reason is a change in the composition of the recent polls. There's only one live interview survey among the last *50* recorded by 538. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2020 Deleted Hibernated