Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Thu Aug 06 14:02:09 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

That said, many better online polls still show no movement. YouGov, Ipsos and Morning Consult are still at ~9, like in June. Most movement is from outright weak IVR stuff. So it may also be that the live polls come back with Biden+10 again. I don't think that's ruled out either — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 6, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Now I do think, fwiw, that the few 'good' polls we do have--like the recent Monmouth state polls in IA/GA--feel more consistent with Biden+8 or whatever than Biden+12. So it very well may be that the next 'good polls' show tightening as well. But we don't have that data yet — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 6, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@RachelBitecofer to be clear, *you* were attacking someone else for being subjective and i was pointing out that your ratings are quite subjective. i don't mind if someone wants to rate races without resort to a formal model — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 6, 2020 Hibernated