Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Sat Aug 01 13:13:02 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@RyanDEnos I would be frustrated, though as you documented already I think it is fair to say that the academic forecasters haven't always been clear about the limits of their products, all the way up until the moment when those limits come into sight — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 1, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@RyanDEnos fivethirtyeight models do sometimes include a dynamic element, even if the basis is still empirical. the primary model, for instance, accounted for momentum and the effect of winning various states. https://t.co/LO7Pz4Hzrq — PolitiTweet.org

On a pedantic but still positive note, I also think it's much more deserving of the term 'forecast' than most empir… https://t.co/OueIs2mLzZ

Posted Aug. 1, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

As I read the various VP gossip over the last few weeks, I come away with one simple question: does Harris just face a handful of fierce detractors, or does a wide swath of Biden world have such serious reservations that many struggle to get to 'yes' and argue for her? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 1, 2020 Hibernated