Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated Yes

Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

Created

Sat Aug 01 12:44:47 +0000 2020

Likes

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@RyanDEnos the theoretical distinction is noteworthy but i think the key distinction is whether the model is dynamic. the kind of underlying modeling--empirical, theoretical--is certainly correlated with the ease of dynamic modeling, but technically it's not the obstacle — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 1, 2020 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@RyanDEnos and while i certainly agree that empiricism, broadly defined, is basically the only way to accumulate scientific knowledge, i don't think that means that a good forecast is the same as a good empirical model for a similar set of reasons — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 31, 2020 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@RyanDEnos fivethirtyeight models do sometimes include a dynamic element, even if the basis is still empirical. the primary model, for instance, accounted for momentum and the effect of winning various states. https://t.co/LO7Pz4Hzrq — PolitiTweet.org

On a pedantic but still positive note, I also think it's much more deserving of the term 'forecast' than most empir… https://t.co/OueIs2mLzZ

Posted Aug. 1, 2020 Hibernated