Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Wed Jul 29 11:58:15 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In our national poll, a slightly smaller share of file-based 'Republicans' identify as such (65%) compared to the 'Democrats' (69%). Unaffiliated voters--disproportionately young and nonwhite--identified as Dems by a 5 point margin (24 to 19). It added up to D+8 by party ID — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Voter file data offers other clues. Nationwide, Democrats (registered Dems or recent primary Dem voters), outnumber Republicans by 6 points, 36 to 30 percent, in the 45 or so states with either measure. Doesn't prove advantage in Dem *ID*, but certainly consistent with it — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

There are some really interesting regional patterns here that I don't go into, btw. 18% of white southern rural Democrats call themselves Republicans Only 56% of northern metropolitan registered Republicans called themselves GOP. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 29, 2020 Hibernated