Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked April 1, 2021

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Wed Jul 29 11:56:17 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Voter file data offers other clues. Nationwide, Democrats (registered Dems or recent primary Dem voters), outnumber Republicans by 6 points, 36 to 30 percent, in the 45 or so states with either measure. Doesn't prove advantage in Dem *ID*, but certainly consistent with it — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In Times/Siena polling last month, registered Republicans were 12 percent likelier to respond to the survey than registered Democrats. After controlling for factors used in weighting, the effect of partisanship on likelihood to respond was a *zero* (coefficient = .0003) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In our national poll, a slightly smaller share of file-based 'Republicans' identify as such (65%) compared to the 'Democrats' (69%). Unaffiliated voters--disproportionately young and nonwhite--identified as Dems by a 5 point margin (24 to 19). It added up to D+8 by party ID — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 29, 2020 Hibernated