Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris @NateSilver538 i totally buy that--and that's why our demographic analysis/prior MRP efforts exclusively use telephone survey data. but the same thing holds: you can't convince your model that clinton's really only at 22 percent among GA whites or whatever without...a state poll's worth of data — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris @NateSilver538 if by 'mrp' you mean a model with regularization, deeply interacted standard census demographics, and some standard political/demographic continuous predictors, then i am certain it would not--even with tens of thousands of RDD interviews — PolitiTweet.org