Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked March 13, 2021

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Fri Jul 24 11:46:35 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

It's not easy to imagine the consequences of this kind of demographic shift, but they are potentially very significant. For illustrative purposes, consider a simple simulation: apply the shifts in national polls to our post '16 estimates of the result by group — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Trump's lead among white voters has all but vanished. Anything like it threatens longstanding GOP structural advantages https://t.co/2M0AowUu1r https://t.co/XnYkATKB58 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Nationwide, this yields the following result: Biden+10, 54-44 Whites 46-52 ...col+ 59-39 ...no col 37-61 Black 90-9 Hispanic 63-35 plausible enough for illustrative purposes — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 24, 2020 Hibernated