Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked March 8, 2021

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Sun Jul 19 17:09:20 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@BrendanNyhan @ben_golub @gelliottmorris i'd take issue with the idea that we're talking about unprecedented events; we're talking about events that didn't happen very often in the 18 election months from 1948-2016. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 19, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

As a result, I do think it's reasonable at this stage to stick with your historic prior (slight-to-modest GOP LV edge) over whatever self-report says today (though I do think they're consistent with it). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 19, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@BrendanNyhan @ben_golub @gelliottmorris go through every month since 1856 and identify how often the econ-based model would have been a dubious way of thinking about the 'fundamentals.' there are a lot, even in cases where it maybe kinda woulda 'worked' anyway (including right now). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 19, 2020 Hibernated