Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked March 8, 2021

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Sat Jul 18 20:03:47 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris @NateSilver538 @DanRosenheck @collprof @Michael_Cobb68 i don't think the dataset is necessarily a core area of contestation, though i do think the question of how post-war fundamentals fare pre-war is an important one — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris @NateSilver538 @DanRosenheck @collprof @Michael_Cobb68 but, conversely, asserting that 99% is simply what 'the data' says, as you put it, rather than the result of a series of debatable choices (that I don't think most folks would agree with, and certainly lead to higher confidence) doesn't cut it either. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris @NateSilver538 @DanRosenheck @collprof @Michael_Cobb68 yes, all elections have equal weight, but less polarized elections will have less weight in determining variance for 2020, just as, to take an example, 'black' respondents do not effect the mean for 'white' if you control for race in a linear model, despite equal weight — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 18, 2020 Hibernated