Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 2, 2021

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Tue Jul 14 14:10:56 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I should note that they have had polls--KS, for instance--where they do show healthy ticket splitting. But this isn't the first time I've thought they were on the low-end of that range. An earlier NC poll, with Cooper and Cunningham both +9, has lingered in my mind — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 14, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I'm pointing this out because of the Civiqs poll in MT this AM. I think the Civiqs folks are doing about as well as anyone to meet the challenge of modeling out bias in online polling. I think it's good stuff. But nonexistent undecideds/ticket splitting is a warning to me — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 14, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Anyway, I don't want to be too tough here. This is a challenge for all pollsters and especially state online pollsters working in a tiny state. I think their work is about as good as we're getting from panels nowadays. But it's something that I look at and figured I'd share — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 14, 2020 Hibernated