Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 2, 2021

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Tue Jul 14 14:07:30 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I'm pointing this out because of the Civiqs poll in MT this AM. I think the Civiqs folks are doing about as well as anyone to meet the challenge of modeling out bias in online polling. I think it's good stuff. But nonexistent undecideds/ticket splitting is a warning to me — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 14, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

It's totally possible to still produce compelling topline results, even if you have too many highly engaged activists in your polls. Your average error might be still be low, since maybe you have a decent partisan balance even though you have too many activists, etc. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 14, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I should note that they have had polls--KS, for instance--where they do show healthy ticket splitting. But this isn't the first time I've thought they were on the low-end of that range. An earlier NC poll, with Cooper and Cunningham both +9, has lingered in my mind — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 14, 2020 Hibernated