Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 9, 2021

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Wed Jun 24 10:11:13 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Just out of academic curiosity, I spent some time yesterday seeing whether there were really any serious choices in weighting or design that might have led to even a modestly better picture for the president, and I've got nothing — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Joe Biden holds a commanding 14 point lead in the first NYT/Siena national survey, 50 to 36 percent https://t.co/fnGaZUHo0F — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

We'll talk more about turnout later, but 2016 voters (even better for Trump than 2016 turnout, as that would exclude, say, everyone 18-22 or everyone who voted in the Dem primary that didn't vote in '16) is Biden+10 https://t.co/501osgQ2j5 — PolitiTweet.org

@Nate_Cohn Have you tried weighing by 2016 turnout?

Posted June 24, 2020 Hibernated