Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Looking at that exact question, here it seems our validated 2016 voters in Arizona are R+13 by party reg, while 2016 voters on the file are R+6. Either way, the sample winds up at R+2 or 3 or whatever, but our voters appear to be more R and nonvoters too D. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@BenPiggot In 2018 we definitely underestimated Democrats in heavily Latino districts, but in our post election analysis it was pretty clearly due to underestimation of turnout not inability to reach Hispanic voters. And after all, our best poll for Biden last October was AZ. — PolitiTweet.org