Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 6, 2021

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Wed Jun 17 12:24:06 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

But it is noteworthy if a pollster that claims to be weighting on self-reported vote and yet winds up with a sample that's 4 pts off the target/their last poll on self-reported vote, while the topline shifts by a similar amount — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

To be clear, I'm not a big fan of weighting on self-reported '16 vote choice, and I have no problem with letting it float (IE: if your poll shows Clinton+2 on self-reported vote in battlegrounds I don't think that necessarily undermines its credibility) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The last national poll to show Trump within a mere 7 points was the Emerson College poll fielded 6/1-6/2. Since then, the average national poll (n=17) is Biden +10.6 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 17, 2020 Hibernated