Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 6, 2021

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Wed Jun 17 12:20:41 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

To be clear, I'm not a big fan of weighting on self-reported '16 vote choice, and I have no problem with letting it float (IE: if your poll shows Clinton+2 on self-reported vote in battlegrounds I don't think that necessarily undermines its credibility) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

These polls do show a significant shift in Biden's direction since their last polls. But one interesting thing about them is that they say they're weighted on 2016 vote choice, yet self-reported 16 vote choice has swung from Trump+2 to Clinton+2. Figure that out https://t.co/f0k7lWla3Z — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

But it is noteworthy if a pollster that claims to be weighting on self-reported vote and yet winds up with a sample that's 4 pts off the target/their last poll on self-reported vote, while the topline shifts by a similar amount — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 17, 2020 Hibernated