Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 2, 2021

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Sun May 31 16:44:57 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Or, if you prefer, the GOP has an underlying turnout edge, but the party out of power enjoys a bit of an edge as well. These kinda cancel out when the GOP is in the White House, and the Dems can find themselves in dire straits when they're up for a midterm — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 31, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Another candidate is the general increase in Democratic engagement since '16. This is in keeping with the historic tendency for the Democrats to come closer to turnout parity when the GOP is in the White House, as we saw in '18. https://t.co/nf86TNO6F7 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 31, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Working in the other direction is that Biden appears to have a bit of an enthusiasm disadvantage. Of course, an enthusiastic vote counts as much as an unenthusiastic one, but it is hard to say the situation has changed much since '16 and it's probably not *irrelevant* to turnout — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 31, 2020 Hibernated