Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 2, 2021

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Sun May 31 16:44:05 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Another candidate is the general increase in Democratic engagement since '16. This is in keeping with the historic tendency for the Democrats to come closer to turnout parity when the GOP is in the White House, as we saw in '18. https://t.co/nf86TNO6F7 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 31, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

One obvious candidate is the decline in the age gap since '16, as age is highly correlated with turnout and Biden seems to be faring quite well with older voters. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 31, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Or, if you prefer, the GOP has an underlying turnout edge, but the party out of power enjoys a bit of an edge as well. These kinda cancel out when the GOP is in the White House, and the Dems can find themselves in dire straits when they're up for a midterm — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 31, 2020 Hibernated