Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 29, 2020

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Tue May 19 22:57:59 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@cwarshaw @A_agadjanian not the prettiest slide i ever made (filling in for mr. enten dropping out of something at the last minute, IIRC!) but here's a '16 effort that tried to synthesize a regression based on high-quality state polling and MRP w national RDD https://t.co/KBPkssEjZu — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 19, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@A_agadjanian and iirc you won't pick up almost all the changes you really care about. you're pretty dependent on the 'last presidential election' fixed effect in a predictive setting, and you don't have nearly enough n to figure out that IN will shift 20 pts to Obama but not OH — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 19, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@cwarshaw @A_agadjanian struggled more in '08 https://t.co/L834zUKYe0 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 19, 2020 Hibernated