Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 18, 2020

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Mon Apr 13 13:02:32 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Hard to see it in recent national polls, which often don't breakdown by race. But it was there in our Times/Siena battleground polls in October, which had the same demographic story we see in national polls today https://t.co/FaRYXBCAqY — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 13, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

One point that didn't make the cut, due to lack of *recent* evidence: I think most of Biden's weakness among nonwhite voters, compared to Clinton, is among black voters and maybe especially young black voters. If so, harder to envision far higher black turnout, Dem GA/NC breakout — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 13, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Another, easy to over-look factor in Biden's declining strength among nonwhite voters as a whole is the growing non-black share of nonwhite voters. Non-black nonwhite voters (Hisp/Asian, etc) tend to be more competitive than black voters and are a larger share of new registrants — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 13, 2020 Hibernated