Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 18, 2020

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Mon Apr 13 13:01:01 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

One point that didn't make the cut, due to lack of *recent* evidence: I think most of Biden's weakness among nonwhite voters, compared to Clinton, is among black voters and maybe especially young black voters. If so, harder to envision far higher black turnout, Dem GA/NC breakout — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 13, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

At the same time, the more conservative "Silent Generation" is getting old enough to start departing the electorate in greater numbers. Together, I suspect Clinton was quite competitive among voters who were over age 61 in '16 and alive today, and maybe even won them — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 13, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Hard to see it in recent national polls, which often don't breakdown by race. But it was there in our Times/Siena battleground polls in October, which had the same demographic story we see in national polls today https://t.co/FaRYXBCAqY — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 13, 2020 Hibernated