Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 18, 2020

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Thu Apr 09 15:05:57 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I think it's super hard to model this stuff and I will not offer any opinion on whether it's likely or not. But the Western Europe comparison does some context to the projections, and it would be very fairly easy to tell, quite soon, which way we were heading — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 9, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

That is exactly what the IMHE model, for instance, assumes. This morning, it shows just over 60k US deaths, and shows the US daily death growth peaking in 3 days, before it did in Western Europe, and starting to decline well before it clearly has in Western Europe https://t.co/bcwvMRFYTh — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 9, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@NateSilver538 as i said, i won't be offering an opinion on what's going to happen, but we'll see! — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 9, 2020 Hibernated