Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
For instance, if we applied the validated turnout from 2018 to our poll (ie: 89% of 'almost certain to vote' did so), you'd get a turnout of 285k in our poll. But I have no idea whether validated turnout by likelihood in the midterms like past IA caucuses. I'd guess not. — PolitiTweet.org