Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated Yes

Last Checked Oct. 8, 2020

Created

Sat Feb 01 17:33:32 +0000 2020

Likes

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

And self-reported likely voter screens will help you nail a surprising turnout, but there's no guarantee that those irregular voters turn out (perhaps the cause of Trump's overestimate in '16) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 1, 2020 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

And there are real tradeoffs involved in elements of the Selzer approach. A simple set of weights creates some bias-variance tradeoff risks, especially on education (though not the biggest deal in IA), and may just straight up add variance on party reg if she doesn't quota on it. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 1, 2020 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Bottom-line: it's a very good poll. It's not perfect, and in this particular caucus, poll results are sensitive to methodological choices. We do know that this set of choices has generally yielded good results for Sanders, and the result can be judged with that in mind — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 1, 2020 Hibernated