Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 22, 2020

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Fri Dec 20 13:11:28 +0000 2019

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

And for what it's worth, the three states with statewide contests in 2018 (IE: not NC) were all narrowly decided in GOP favor with Trump approval slightly above water. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 20, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Just for illustrative purposes--and I'm *not* saying this will happen, not at all--imagine that you run the 2012 to 2016 trend forward another 4 years: TX is Trump+2 FL is Trump+3 NC is Trump+3 GA is Trump+2 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 20, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Anyway there's a lot of time for this to change. And I could pitch a case that there are hints of a Dem breakthrough in GA, for many reasons similar to Texas. But I do think it's imaginable that the Dems could inch very close to victory in all four without a win. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 20, 2019 Hibernated