Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 22, 2020

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Fri Dec 20 13:09:54 +0000 2019

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Just for illustrative purposes--and I'm *not* saying this will happen, not at all--imagine that you run the 2012 to 2016 trend forward another 4 years: TX is Trump+2 FL is Trump+3 NC is Trump+3 GA is Trump+2 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 20, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

If you don't believe me, consider that Clinton improved a net-7 pts over Obama in TX, while doing worse than Obama in FL, making no gain in NC, and ticking up 2.5 points in GA. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 20, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

And for what it's worth, the three states with statewide contests in 2018 (IE: not NC) were all narrowly decided in GOP favor with Trump approval slightly above water. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 20, 2019 Hibernated