Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 22, 2020

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Wed Dec 18 14:29:28 +0000 2019

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Alternately, one could argue this is the dying breath of live interview polls, which have lower and lower response rates. Here, online polls would say there are very few changing opinions at this point, and the live polls are just catching varying differential response — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 18, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

But there are worse scenarios, too. Perhaps panel conditioning, for instance, has taken a toll on the data being used on online pollsters. Basically, the millions of online panelists would have developed an independent set of opinions and trends after years of taking online polls — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 18, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

It is hard to evaluate this without more data, especially for the online pollsters who don't publish many hard election results, just national polls. In Morning Consult, their '50 state estimates' lead me to think the issue could be specific to rural whites (NE!) but idk. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 18, 2019 Hibernated