Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 10, 2020

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Tue Nov 05 14:16:47 +0000 2019

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@RyanDEnos i didn't say we don't have any. but like, if we're 8 points off it's probably not sampling bias — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The ABC/Post poll otoh is fairly small for a national poll (~850 RVs). Doesn't make it wrong. But the difference could be sampling error on their end; if they did it again, it could be much better for Trump. It's worse for him than others, including their own prior polls — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

--I do think the EC v. battleground gap is real, but shouldn't cover the whole thing. I'd guess that Biden was up 6-9 nationally, based on our polls alone. I think that's close to other national polls, but it is short of the average (Biden+10 or so). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2019 Hibernated