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Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 10, 2020

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Tue Nov 05 14:16:27 +0000 2019

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The ABC/Post poll otoh is fairly small for a national poll (~850 RVs). Doesn't make it wrong. But the difference could be sampling error on their end; if they did it again, it could be much better for Trump. It's worse for him than others, including their own prior polls — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

--Our polls, together, are a very large sample. That means that, at least on our end, I can say with some confidence that we would not have a radically different result if we did this again. IE: if we're wrong, I can't dismiss that very easily as due to sampling or something — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@RyanDEnos i didn't say we don't have any. but like, if we're 8 points off it's probably not sampling bias — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2019 Hibernated