Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 6, 2020

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Mon Nov 04 12:22:08 +0000 2019

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

That said, collective sample here is N=3766 and more than 5000 if you count Iowa. The picture, I think, is very clear over all and it's not really subject to the margin of error. Our sample was quite clear, as well (left column = unweighted; right = weighted) https://t.co/sq10xvxrQP — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 4, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I should note that this is methodologically identical to our live polling from last fall But Michigan was a real struggle. We cut our responses there to 500 (v 650 elsewhere), due to bad productivity. High design effect required weight changes. All described in method page. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 4, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Instead, we find the president continuing to excel among white voters without a degree, and coming close to his '16 margins there. The Trump voters who supported Democrats in the midterms say they'll back Trump by 2-1 margins Trump leads all in Obama-Trump counties, precincts — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 4, 2019 Hibernated