Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 6, 2020

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Mon Nov 04 12:19:26 +0000 2019

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I should note that this is methodologically identical to our live polling from last fall But Michigan was a real struggle. We cut our responses there to 500 (v 650 elsewhere), due to bad productivity. High design effect required weight changes. All described in method page. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 4, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I don't think this is simple about name recognition. In Iowa, where the campaign is well underway and Warren led among Iowa caucus-goers: Trump+1, Trump 45, Biden 44 Trump+3, Trump 47, Sanders 44 Trump+4, Trump 45, Buttigieg 41 Trump +6, Trump 47, Warren 40 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 4, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

That said, collective sample here is N=3766 and more than 5000 if you count Iowa. The picture, I think, is very clear over all and it's not really subject to the margin of error. Our sample was quite clear, as well (left column = unweighted; right = weighted) https://t.co/sq10xvxrQP — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 4, 2019 Hibernated