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Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 28, 2020

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Tue Sep 10 21:04:37 +0000 2019

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In our NC09 poll, for instance, the *same* people were Trump+11 approval and R+0.5 in the horse race. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 10, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

And honestly, I can't tell you the case to the contrary. I do think there's a case that Clinton *might* have *barely* won with a 2012 turnout, though fallen far short of Obama in key states. But I'm not aware of a serious case for 'turnout explains all,' or anything like it — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 10, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In our final polls of GA06, IL14, CA48 over the last days of the race, the sample was R+6 or more in all. Dems led in all, and ultimately won. Dems had huge inroads with past GOP voters. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 10, 2019 Hibernated