Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 28, 2020

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Thu Aug 15 19:38:35 +0000 2019

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@ChangePolls i assume this wasn't intentional, as you're calling attention to it and showed your work, but: --you omitted several polls where we both polled and you did poorly --there are substantial factual errors in the tallies you do include --with 538 data, avg error is nyt 3.4 v. 4.6 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 15, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

It's really hard to know what to make of some of these new online polls https://t.co/zLxRyfcdSF — PolitiTweet.org

Change Research could be right. Could be. But last month they had Buttigieg leading and at 25% in Iowa. I think skepticism is warranted.

Posted Aug. 15, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@ChangePolls an incomplete list: you have MI08 as 6 pt error for us and 1 for you, it's 3 or so for both. i find this hard to understand. You don't include WI01 and NY01, where you have double digit errors. IL14 was basically our most accurate late poll and you have it as a 2 pt error, so on — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 15, 2019 Hibernated