Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@NateSilver538 And we have a more sophisticated estimate, seen on the map as the 'result-based' estimate, which attempts to model the presidents approval as a function of House results, while ironing out candidate specific effects (like an outlier in IA-4). All of it lands on the same answer — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

As an aside, I see a lot more tweets about how Democrats should try win than how Trump should try win, and at least in my mind the latter is somewhat clearer and more telling — PolitiTweet.org