Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 28, 2020

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Fri May 24 17:14:23 +0000 2019

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

When we first polled the race, we found Hultgren ahead by 4 points, 47-43. But there were lots of intriguing signs under the hood. We found Trump's at -3 approval a district he won, with an R+9 sample. 42% had no opinion of the incumbent, one of the lowest of any poll — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 24, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

IL-14 was one of the last districts we decided to poll in 'wave 1,' before we started repolling races. The article characterizes Underwood, the Dem, as being seen as 'destined to lose' up until a few days. But as that choice implied, it's not quite how we saw it — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 24, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In part because of that poll, ratings folks changed the race to a toss-up---hardly a race where Dems couldn't be seen to have a chance. Here, the Cook write up making it a tossup on 10/12 https://t.co/E7mEk1Wwh1 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 24, 2019 Hibernated