Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 26, 2023

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Thu Dec 15 19:51:54 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@BenjySarlin But, like, compared to what? COVID-19 policy had a much bigger impact on the average GOP primary voter's life than lots of culture war issues like say policy toward trans kids. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 15, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Noahpinion I don't think so! This is the most vulnerable Trump has been in a while. Both voters (per polls) and GOP opinion leaders have shifted fairly sharply toward DeSantis. And campaigns are partly confidence games: with every opinion leader who shifts, it's easier for the next one. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 15, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@BenjySarlin I mean, the GOP didn't really make a big deal of COVID policy in the midterms. When they did in 2021, they did pretty well. Of course, COVID restrictions were a much fresher memory in '21 than '22, so it's hard to know how a greater emphasis would have worked out. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 15, 2022