Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated No

Last Checked Feb. 26, 2023

Created

Thu Dec 15 19:47:56 +0000 2022

Likes

189

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Noahpinion I don't think so! This is the most vulnerable Trump has been in a while. Both voters (per polls) and GOP opinion leaders have shifted fairly sharply toward DeSantis. And campaigns are partly confidence games: with every opinion leader who shifts, it's easier for the next one. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 15, 2022

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The prediction market I'd want to see is something like "will Trump hold at least 7 rallies in early-voting states in 4Q 2023". That's a pretty low threshold for a non-half-assed campaign. I'd buy it at 60% and sell at 80%. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 15, 2022

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@BenjySarlin But, like, compared to what? COVID-19 policy had a much bigger impact on the average GOP primary voter's life than lots of culture war issues like say policy toward trans kids. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 15, 2022