Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 26, 2023

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Thu Dec 15 19:58:29 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@BenjySarlin I mean, the GOP didn't really make a big deal of COVID policy in the midterms. When they did in 2021, they did pretty well. Of course, COVID restrictions were a much fresher memory in '21 than '22, so it's hard to know how a greater emphasis would have worked out. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 15, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@BenjySarlin But, like, compared to what? COVID-19 policy had a much bigger impact on the average GOP primary voter's life than lots of culture war issues like say policy toward trans kids. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 15, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@BenjySarlin But also, I'm not sure we should compare the primary and general electorates. COVID policy (what was actually implemented, not what the MPHs wanted) actually tracked with consensus public opinion fairly well. But the GOP primary electorate does not = consensus opinion. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 15, 2022