Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 15, 2022

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Sun Oct 23 17:46:45 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I guess the good news for Democrats here, oddly enough, is that there's a lot of bad news for Democrats already priced into the forecast. "Democrats somewhat underperform current polling" is the base case for Ds, not the bear case. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 23, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's interesting how much the 538 Deluxe forecast assumes Republicans will in fact outperform their current polling averages, by ~2 points in the average competitive Senate race and ~3 points in the House popular vote. https://t.co/mXB7KjUg4c — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 23, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

People on here have wildly implausible theories about how and how much the subtleties of New York Times coverage affect the views of some random swing voter in Ohio. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 24, 2022