Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 14, 2022

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Sun Oct 23 17:44:32 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's interesting how much the 538 Deluxe forecast assumes Republicans will in fact outperform their current polling averages, by ~2 points in the average competitive Senate race and ~3 points in the House popular vote. https://t.co/mXB7KjUg4c — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 23, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's wild to me how quick people on this site are pull out ad hominem attacks. It's not that I even care about civility per se, it's just that using ad hominems is usually a pretty reliable tell that you're full of shit on the merits. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 22, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I guess the good news for Democrats here, oddly enough, is that there's a lot of bad news for Democrats already priced into the forecast. "Democrats somewhat underperform current polling" is the base case for Ds, not the bear case. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 23, 2022