Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 15, 2022

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Mon Oct 24 13:08:49 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

People on here have wildly implausible theories about how and how much the subtleties of New York Times coverage affect the views of some random swing voter in Ohio. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 24, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I guess the good news for Democrats here, oddly enough, is that there's a lot of bad news for Democrats already priced into the forecast. "Democrats somewhat underperform current polling" is the base case for Ds, not the bear case. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 23, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@joshtpm They do show correlations, especially in younger grades, and more detailed studies with better controls etc. have shown stronger correlations. https://t.co/l4NBhqaP9d https://t.co/8NaLbcMeQN — PolitiTweet.org

We should be very cautious in interpreting this — it's not causal — but we ran an exploratory correlation between N… https://t.co/BRlqJnjGlL

Posted Oct. 24, 2022