Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 24, 2022

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Mon Feb 28 17:15:52 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm... not sure I buy the premise here? I found Russia's invasion of Ukraine *extremely non-surprising*, not because of any particular insight but because it had been *explicitly predicted by the President of the United States*. https://t.co/y8CU3giYyl https://t.co/E5bVpynyJw — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 28, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

As a poker guy I'm generally fond of poker metaphors but this doesn't really work in the context of nuclear deterrence. It's not so much that Putin's hand is weak but that if Putin decided to go all-in, *both* players lose all their chips. https://t.co/jCIE0blWmw https://t.co/CijPjz3NzK — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 27, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm all for bashing bad expert predictions but this is basically The Sun Rose in the East This Morning—Here's Why The Experts Got It So Wrong — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 28, 2022