Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 24, 2022

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Mon Feb 28 17:19:34 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm all for bashing bad expert predictions but this is basically The Sun Rose in the East This Morning—Here's Why The Experts Got It So Wrong — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 28, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm... not sure I buy the premise here? I found Russia's invasion of Ukraine *extremely non-surprising*, not because of any particular insight but because it had been *explicitly predicted by the President of the United States*. https://t.co/y8CU3giYyl https://t.co/E5bVpynyJw — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 28, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias Yeah, there's a certain lawyerly slight-of-hand in like firmly establishing that the defendant was at the crime scene and making a big show of that to the jury, and hoping in so doing they ignore that you haven't found a weapon or provided anything beyond circumstantial evidence. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 1, 2022