Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 24, 2022

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Sun Feb 27 17:24:51 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

As a poker guy I'm generally fond of poker metaphors but this doesn't really work in the context of nuclear deterrence. It's not so much that Putin's hand is weak but that if Putin decided to go all-in, *both* players lose all their chips. https://t.co/jCIE0blWmw https://t.co/CijPjz3NzK — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 27, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

After years of learning to calibrate my sense of "what's really happening" in incredibly partisan news environments, it's weird to encounter a story in which nearly everyone (very much including me) is rooting for the same outcome (Ukraine repelling the invasion). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 27, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm... not sure I buy the premise here? I found Russia's invasion of Ukraine *extremely non-surprising*, not because of any particular insight but because it had been *explicitly predicted by the President of the United States*. https://t.co/y8CU3giYyl https://t.co/E5bVpynyJw — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 28, 2022