Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 8, 2022

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Sat Feb 05 18:26:13 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias I mean the EC probably has a 3 point R bias and the House might now have a 1-point D bias. So what are the chances the popular vote ends up somewhere between R+1 and D+3? Maybe 25%? Though I'm ignoring incumbency and other complications. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 5, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Entirely plausible outcome for 2024 given the results of redistricting is that Democrats regain* control of the House while losing the presidency. * or retain, if they keep it in 2022 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 5, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There's this whole genre of article that's like "Think you'll ever be able to stop worrying about COVID? Think again!". When you see polls showing that most people want to "move on" it may be this sort of sentiment that they're reacting to. https://t.co/z29M8t8Sp2 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 6, 2022