Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 8, 2022

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Sun Feb 06 21:06:55 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There's this whole genre of article that's like "Think you'll ever be able to stop worrying about COVID? Think again!". When you see polls showing that most people want to "move on" it may be this sort of sentiment that they're reacting to. https://t.co/z29M8t8Sp2 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 6, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias I mean the EC probably has a 3 point R bias and the House might now have a 1-point D bias. So what are the chances the popular vote ends up somewhere between R+1 and D+3? Maybe 25%? Though I'm ignoring incumbency and other complications. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 5, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Noahpinion That's a great (and accurate) way to describe the NYT today, although I think it may have been true for a long time. Certainly was true when I worked there 10 years ago. Also has been true of their elections coverage for many, many years. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 7, 2022