Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 8, 2022

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Sat Feb 05 18:10:33 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Entirely plausible outcome for 2024 given the results of redistricting is that Democrats regain* control of the House while losing the presidency. * or retain, if they keep it in 2022 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 5, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@SopanDeb @Kungu_NBA He can and very likely will be better, but one issue is that even the high-end version isn't *that* good. It's not like AD or something who's having a down year too but where the upside is a top 10 player. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 5, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias I mean the EC probably has a 3 point R bias and the House might now have a 1-point D bias. So what are the chances the popular vote ends up somewhere between R+1 and D+3? Maybe 25%? Though I'm ignoring incumbency and other complications. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 5, 2022