Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 10, 2021

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Thu Sep 02 13:34:46 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The chief reason for that is COVID. The situation will *probably* be better in Nov. 2022 than it is now, and perhaps it will much better. But, I don't think anyone would want to be super confident about any of that. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 2, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Election predictions are generally fairly useless more than say 3-6 months in advance, but that's probably especially true for next year's midterms. I just don't think we a great idea what the news cycle and broader political environment will look like a year from now. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 2, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

But there are also so many other issues—abortion and the Supreme Court more generally, immigration, inflation, race, voting rights and attacks on democracy, China, Afghanistan, climate change and severe weather—that could have unpredictable effects on the midterms. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 2, 2021