Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 10, 2021

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Thu Sep 02 13:37:44 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

But there are also so many other issues—abortion and the Supreme Court more generally, immigration, inflation, race, voting rights and attacks on democracy, China, Afghanistan, climate change and severe weather—that could have unpredictable effects on the midterms. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 2, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The chief reason for that is COVID. The situation will *probably* be better in Nov. 2022 than it is now, and perhaps it will much better. But, I don't think anyone would want to be super confident about any of that. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 2, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@davidshor You and I probably differ to some degree about the robustness of long-term predictions. But my point is more that it's generally too soon for stories along the lines of "X news event just happened: How does that affect the midterms?" — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 2, 2021