Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 23, 2021

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Sat May 08 12:44:13 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

We're at 45k cases/day with a week to go here so should wind up being fairly close between the bottom two categories. Good job by the wisdom of crowds here as most correctly saw cases declining by this point despite a lot of media consternation about a "fourth wave". — PolitiTweet.org

The 7-day average COVID-19 case count is currently ~65K (per Worldometers) in the US. What will it be on May 15?

Posted May 8, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@joshtpm I haven't, although we're probably at the point now where even in blue states, it's mostly red people who are vax-resistant. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 7, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Noahpinion I think it's complicated. First wave, there was lots of staying at home, but tests were very hard to come by and messaging around masks was mixed. 2nd and 3rd waves, better masking and testing, and more of an understanding that outdoors was safer, but much less staying at home. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 8, 2021